The Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future Review

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The Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future ReviewI had extremely high hopes when I ordered this book and I was quite disappointed. I expected something in the way of suggestions for a community blueprint, even a rough draft, of how my city and county could organize to face post-peak oil and climate change. Something like: Do "A" first because that's the most important, while you plan "B" and scout "C." Instead, I was told that nearly everything will have to change, yesterday, and that I should get my community together to figure it out for ourselves. (There are some suggestions for games and role playing and visioning exercises for one's group to use in the process, which is something, I suppose.)
While author Shawn Chamberlin talks about timelines and projections of declining fuel availability, predictions of temperature rise, the dire consequences of failure to change ... and more -- with excellent graphs and lots of pertinent quotes -- what he does not provide is a transition timeline for a local, resilient future.
That said, if you haven't been paying attention to the issues of global climate change and diminished availability of liquid fuels [where HAVE you been?] you can learn a lot from this volume. Some of Chamberlin's examples are extremely apt: for instance, if you want to get a sense of how much energy you are harnessing when you drive your car ... get out and push it. Technological humans utilize the equivalent of thousands of energy slaves each year and the future world is going to have to run without them.
Chamberlin cites research which indicates that bio-fuels cannot possibly fill the gap (and are already affecting food prices); that solar and wind cannot come online fast enough to pick up the slack; that (fortunately) tapping marginal dirty sources like tar sands are so energy- and water-intensive that they will not be used in vast quantities (and cannot, in any case, be ramped up fast enough to replace sweet crude); that we are, in short, in a hell of a pickle.
Then to cheer us up a bit he notes that the IPCC estimates on warming are extremely conservative and have already been proved wrong as the planet heats up and the arctic melts faster than predicted. To top that off, the IPCC only looks at warming through 2100 and even if we hit their best case goals, the folks in the next century will be in extremely dire trouble. Moreover, even the politicians that "get it" aren't doing much and surely not enough. But, three generations' delay is better than none, and I couldn't agree more with his concluding note: In a situation this perilous I have no choice but to give it my all. Doing less than my best for this planet and its life forms is simply not an ethical option.The Transition Timeline: For a Local, Resilient Future Overview

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